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I honestly think that the biggest threat to Sony is Sony.

The biggest threat to Nintendo is the death of Miyamoto.

Ps: Sony's wand is going to fail, just like Natal. Wiimotion+ would normally be a failure as well, but you know... Wii sports resort =/ 

And lets not forget zelda:wii

What first party game does Sony have that can sell over 10 million? 5 million? 3million? I don't think you want to use Sony's wand for GT5 and GOW3.