Warfare 2 will sell 3million on ps3 ALONE week one

[binary solo]

Lets put some objective evidence into this thread:

1 Nov America Pre-orders for PS3 = 650K

Add one more week of pre-orders with another 50K to give us 700K pre-orders for Americas.

Week 1 should achieve about 150% of pre-orders for PS3 in Americas (R&C ACIT did 153%, UC2 did 141%). 700K * 150% = 1.05 million in Americas.

MW1 launched in Others at about 77% of Americas launch. It's not unreasonable to assume the same %. A complicating factor is that MW1 lanched in Others later in the week. Others vs Americas Ltd for MW1 is 91% so let's roughly split the difference and make it Others will sell 85% of America's number. 1.05 million * 85% = 893K.

Japan is a bit of an unknown quantity but I'll give it 70K and I won't be so far off as to make any siginficant difference.

1050K + 893K + 70K = 2.013 million from launch day to WE 14 Nov. This ought to be close to the VGC number reported for the "week".

That leaves Sunday 15 and Monday 16 Nov sales to round out the first 7 days of sales. I'm thinking sales on these 2 days won't be 987K, possibly more like 100K. Add in a margin for error and I think we are looking at 2.5 million max for PS3 week 1. I think it will be less than that but I'm not an experienced game sales predicter.

The 3 million prediciton looks a bit optimistic to me.

You didn't hear it here first.