Why New Super Mario Bros. Wii WILL NOT sell 11 million in less than a year.

[NightDragon83]

angrypoolman said:

NightDragon83 said:

Mario Kart Wii sold 15 milllion worldwide in less than a year... and you don't think that a multiplayer sequel to the classic namesake of which that game was based on won't even do at least 11 million, let alone BREAK MK Wii's first year worldwide sales?!?

angrypoolman... you better stop huffing all that chlorine and shock!

did you not read the original post? nsmb ds did not reach 15 million in less than a year. that is a rediculous statement.

How is it a ridiculous statement?  And so what if NSMB DS didn't reach 15 million units sold WW?  You're comparing apples to oranges with that statement.

Let's compare a few things... take a look at the 2 worldwide charts below, the first one being from May 2006, the first week when NSMB DS was fully available worldwide, and the second one a year later in May 2007...

http://vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=38865&console=&maker=&boxartz=1#

http://vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39215&console=&maker=&boxartz=1#

In the first chart, NSMB DS did over a million units in it's first full week available WW, with the current WW DS install base being about 19 million... then a year later in the second chart, NSMB DS was up to 9.6 million units sold WW, and the WW install base for the DS had more than DOUBLED to 42.6 million.

Now, as of this week the WW install base of the Wii is roughly 55.6 million, and NSMB Wii is being released at the height of the holiday shopping season, and a year from now we will be at that same point in the year.

So tell me... with NSMB Wii going to be available within TWO holiday seasons its first year of release, and launching on a console with THREE TIMES the install base of its predecessor's when it was first released (keeping in mind that it still sold 9.6 million units its first year on the market)... how is it a ridiculous statement to say that not only will NSMB Wii break 11 million in its first year WW sales, but that it is also highly possible it could even top MK Wii's 15 million first year sales milestone???