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c0rd said:
haxxiy said:

Third year may have been PS2's peak, and so will be Wii's peak, but saying only that may actually be misleading. PS2 managed to sustain a high amount of sales. Heck, 2005 and 2006 saw higher PS2 sales than 2004. Wii was subject to a sudden YoY drop-off with no parallel on console sales history. Damn, Wii 2008-2009 drop-off was bigger than PS2 2001-2008 drop-off in Japan back in the year.

The same would happen everywhere else if wasn't for the pricecut, and know what? It still can't keep with 2008 sales. If thinks keep going like they are, Wii should see sort of a 'weak 2009' in 2010, maybe worse than 2007, leaving Nintendo with no choice but to lower price to $149 at 2010 holidays, sorta mirroring their 2009 behavior. Plus there is Natal with its massive media support and such.

I agree with most of what you said, but not the bold.

It's true that the Wii is still below YoY 2008 after a price cut, but that too, is misleading. In late 2008, the console was still being driven by Mario Kart Wii and Wii Fit (still sold out then), and it was only after this interest died down (early 2009), that the console saw its sales plummet.

As of right now, the $50 price cut push is still being "beat" by the MK Wii / Wii Fit momentum. NSMB Wii has yet to come out, though, and early 2009's sales were not that spectacular due to 2008's weak holiday lineup, so it shouldn't be terribly hard to keep up with YoY. They will definitely need to come out with strong software mid-year, though, else things will start looking "doomed" again (probably what will end up happening).

In the end, keep in mind the Wii's 2009 still has a shot at beating the PS2's peak year. It's not doing as great as many of us hoped, but it isn't that bad.

Excuse me ???

 

Q1 2009 was the Wii second best quarter ever outside of a holyday....( behind Q2 2008 by 600k).



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !