haxxiy said:
Third year may have been PS2's peak, and so will be Wii's peak, but saying only that may actually be misleading. PS2 managed to sustain a high amount of sales. Heck, 2005 and 2006 saw higher PS2 sales than 2004. Wii was subject to a sudden YoY drop-off with no parallel on console sales history. Damn, Wii 2008-2009 drop-off was bigger than PS2 2001-2008 drop-off in Japan back in the year. The same would happen everywhere else if wasn't for the pricecut, and know what? It still can't keep with 2008 sales. If thinks keep going like they are, Wii should see sort of a 'weak 2009' in 2010, maybe worse than 2007, leaving Nintendo with no choice but to lower price to $149 at 2010 holidays, sorta mirroring their 2009 behavior. Plus there is Natal with its massive media support and such.
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And you're ignoring that 2009 was so low because of the lack of first party software, next year Wii has no such problem in fact its first party lineup will probably be at its strongest
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







