Interesting take on what the future holds. On one thing I do tend to agree: Nintendo have opened new consumer demographics to MS and Sony. The blue ocean doesn't have people with significant brand loyalty, so they can be drawn to the PS3 or 360. If Nintendo's market research finds that significant numbers of Wii owners who are first time console buyers are buying a 360 or PS3 a few years after initially buying the Wii then Nintendo will need to act to hold on to those people for the next generation.
But predicting the demise of Wii while it is still selling in greater numbers than the PS2 at the same in its life is rather premature. And predicting the 360 will eventually sell more units than the Wii basically requires the 360 to sell at peak numbers for 2 whole years after Wii is discontinued. And that's assuming Wii doesn't extend it's lead over 360 at all over the remainder of Wii's life. It could happen if Nintendo release their next console in 2010. But not likely if Nintendo wait until 2011.
I find it very amusing that for Xbox the future is in a digital distribution only system (with a gradual move to wean consumers and retailers) in which Xbox is leading the way. Whereas for Sony the first HW maker to place a digital distribution only device on the market in PSPGo (while still providing for disc based distribution on its handheld platform) is fail upon fail. Though I note Bruce didn't criticise the PSPGo, only that he neglected to acknowledge that Sony is already heavily invested in the future and success of digital distribution.
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
