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I think it is more than possible.Last year their holiday sales were horrible cause of the price.They were lower than what 360 IS doing at these holidays and still they managed 10m.

I think they will do 14m.

Also they didn't have any big release last year,this year they have 2 confirmed of FF13 and GOW3.

If GT5 releases then they can even do 15m.This only if it releases worldwide.