Wii back atop the PS360

[ph4nt]

kowenicki said:

@ph4ant

No chance.

The Gap between HD and Wii grew by 1.5m in the last 7 weeks alone.

For Wii to achieve 50% market share needs to outsell 360 and PS3 combined by:
252,829	p/m to achieve 50% by Jan 2011.	58,345	per week.
136,139	p/m to achieve 50% by Jan 2012.	31,417	per week.
93,148	p/m to achieve 50% by Jan 2013.	21,496	per week.
70,792	p/m to achieve 50% by Jan 2014.	16,337	per week.
Current rate is:	-78,052	per month on average for the last 12 months.
		-209,918	per month on average for the last 6 months.
		-464,731	per month on average for the last 3 months.
Negative number would mean 360 & PS3 are still outselling Wii by that amount per month on average

And the Wii can erase that 1.5 million this holiday season if things continue the way they are.

Sony and MS are running out of ammo to spur system sales, less room to cut the price. Wii just needs to maintain it's momentum through 2010 to reach 50% by the end of the year, of course for all I know Wii could have another terrible 2nd quarter like this year. I don't think the Wii will reach 50% by selling a lot more than it does now, but by 360 and PS3 selling a lot less.