Ail said:
Regaining momentum is much harder than that. It's really hard to become a hot electronic product and very few companies have been able to regain momentun with the same product that lost it. That doesn't mean Wii sales will tank to GC level, but you shoudn't expect Wii sales to come anywhere near last year number this gen... You're analyzing Wii sales as if the majority of those sales were made in the gaming community while they were actually made to the mass public at large. The purchasing pattern of the general customer out there is a lot different from the one of a traditional gamer who follows closely the software releases. The Wii got where it was because it became the hot item to have for parties or to play with friends... That is the momentum it needs to get back and I don't think it will happen with the same hardware, no matter the software.. |
That's incorrect, its not the hardare that's the issue, you're right they need to keep the expanded audience enthused, but that's always been the software side, people bought Wii initially because of Wii Sports, but aside from Sports resort, no game has taken that promise further, and nothing has gone beyond Wii sports resort yet. Same with the balance board, Wii fit and Wii fit plus are great, but where is the game that goes beyond them Nintendo needs to make sure it goes further with Wii motion plus and Balance board, beyond just sports and fit. The same thing will be needed with the Vitality sensor
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







