Call me crazy, but I think it is still anyone's game to win this gen. MS and Sony are just a slim version away from massively boosting their sales if they can execute well enough. We have yet to have any real breakout software hits (aside from WiiSports and Halo which are kind of givens). I agree that Wii is certainly in the driver's seat at this point though, but Nintendo has a lot of pressure to continue to deliver incredible software and innovations because the Wii doesn't have traditional console selling features that the other systems have.
All 3 systems have pretty unique strengths that will allow them to compete long term against eachother. I think konami is 100% correct that it will be a close battle in most regions. I think Wii will win overall, but it will be more like 45-30-25 for the 3 companies in terms of worlwide marketshare. Sony has the hardest job to figure out how to make a profit on 25% marketshare :)
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