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Indeed. I think you're correct.

I personally believe Mario Kart Wii will sell 28-33 million, whereas Wii Fit is looking at 26-28 million.

Edit:

Fun fact:

Mario sales in the 6th gen, across all platforms (27 games): 58.5 million

Mario Kart sales in the 7th gen (2 games): Should end in 50-55 million