How soon should we expect Wii2?

[Avinash_Tyagi]

Joelcool7 said:

Metallicube said:

Joelcool7 said:

Why does everyone here seem to think 2012?

If Nintendo goes by their five year life cycle and Wii continues to shrink in market share, wouldn't you expect Nintendo's next console in 2011? I personally expect Nintendo to give the Wii one last big push in 2010 with Pikmin,Mario,Link and Donkey Kong, Fox hopefully all making appearances. But after such a powerful line up could Nintendo even keep the Wii going another two years?

So if Sony releases the Wand and Microsoft Natal instead of new platforms is it benificial for Nintendo to push into a new generation?

2012 would be a 6 year life span. Considering that's the lifespan PS2 had, and Wii sales are tracking similar to it (if not better), I would think 2012 at the earliest would make the most sense. I personally wouldn't be surprised at a 2013 or even 2014 release for nintendo's next console. They have clearly stated simply adding horsepower to their consoles isn't really their focus anymore.

Keep in mind Sony never intended to launch their platform after 6 years. Initially PS3 was supposed to launch in fall 2005 and then they delayed it to spring 2006 then finally we saw release in Christmas 2006. I remember when Microsoft showed off the 360 at E3 that Sony announced they hoped for PS3 to launch alongside it. But of course they ended up delaying the console twice second time because the controller had to be completely redesigned etc...etc...

So I think Nintendo will definatly show its next platform at E3 2011 like Sony did when they showed off PS3. Now yes it might not see release till 2012 (Possible) but I don't think we have long to wait before Nintendo brings out the next console. If rumours are true and Sony/Microsoft intend to stick it out a few years if not till 2016 with their Natal/Wand, then Nintendo could single handedly crush the competition.

Lets look at the pluses here. By launching first (If Sony/MS really don't show a new platform next E3)

-Nintendo goes unchallenged and early adopters who might be Sony or Microsoft fans will likely feel the need to get the newest and highest performance console

-Nintendo has made it clear that they don't care to go the route of graphical superiority. This being true the WiiHD will probubly be 2x-3x the PS3. Launching first will give Nintendo a graphical edge even though NextBox/PS4 will be graphically superior upon their launch.

-Casual gamers who may be tempted to buy Natal or Sony's wand will instead see the WiiHD as the third option. If the WiiHD is fully backwards compatable then casuals will quickly adopt the new platform.

 

So were talking a massive lead. Nintendo could waste Natal and the Wand over night and only a year into their lifespans. Nintendo would then also force Microsoft and Sony to launch new platforms in 2012. Now sure some like myself think PS3 could survive next generation without a PS4 but Microsoft's Natal will be killed and Sony's sales that may be boosted by casual sales will be dead in the water after only a year on the market.

Nintendo could turn the Wand/Natal into the new powerglove. By killing both platforms only a year into their life spans. Lets face it without another platform Natal/Wand will begin to take Nintendo's marketshare and could kill the Wii in a matter of years! But if Nintendo launches a new platform in 2011 they will keep Microsoft and Sony from taking over their marketshare!

No, those reasons don't make sense, With Wii overtracking the PS2, why launch another console if their competition isn't? Getting the jump on the competition doesn't help Nintendo, if You're outselling the competition, then there is no need to get the jump on them Graphics and hardware don't win console races, and only raise costs, making a Wii HD wouldn't benefit Nintendo's bottom line NATAL and wand don't show any sign of being able to challenge Wii, so why should Nintendo try and cut them off Sony and MS won't take over their marketshare until they can compete with Wii games, they can't so its a non issue