non-gravity on 25 October 2009
wait what about this scenario
big christmass week:
prediction: 700k
real figure: 1000k
points method 1: 30
points method 2: 300
average: 155
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quiet week 1:
prediction: 210k
real figure: 300k
points method 1: 30
points method 2: 90
average: 60
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Using method 2 or even averaging it with method 1 would make the huge christmas weeks much more important relative to the earlier weeks as the number of consoles you'll be off will be much greater. In the scenario above the christmass week is 2.5 times as influential to the final figure over 10 weeks (that is if you plan to add all the points up at the end instead of looking at the predicted 10 weeks total)
So I'd now say that it's best to just use method 1
