koffieboon on 25 October 2009
| TWRoO said: @Ken... it is very true.... under predicting is a lot better than over predicting, as proved by the PS3 last year. If you predict 200k and the real figure turns out to be 100k, you are 100% out, but if the real figure ends up being 300k, you were still 100k out, but in percentage it is only 33%. At least that is how it feels in the mind... in reality as the real figure is pretty much set (ie, we don't know it yet, and whatever we predict here will not effect what the real figure is unless one of us goes and buys a few thousand consoles) and if you predict 50k above or below it is will be the same percentage difference.... it's just that because we are predicting before the real figures (wel duh, no point predicting after) we then compare the real to our predicted in our mind, rather than comparing our predictions to the real. |
So basically you just need to compare the predictions to the actual results and not the other way around. At least in my opinion being 50k over or under should be considered as an equally right (or wrong) prediction. Talking about scoring, how will these consults be scored and ranked?
About important dates: PSP Go releases in Japan on November 1, which means 1 day in week 1 I think. (I'll need to edit my own predictions because of it as well) Black Wii releases in the UK at November 6 and in the rest of Europe November 20. (which probably means a missive week 4 for Wii in Others seeing it is combined with the release of NSMB)
