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ironman said:
5.5 mil...do-able...I think.

5.5 million is more than do-able. It's downright likely at this point.

If PS3 sells the same amount of units as 360 did last year for the period remaining for this calander year and the 360 does the same for PS3's 08 numbers, that will bring the gap down to 5.3 million. However currently PS3 is tracking well above 360's 08 numbers while the 360 is tracking a bit below PS3's. Unless something can change these two patterns then the gap between the two consoles could very well be below 5 million by January.

After that I would guess that Sony has another 9 months of 2010 to bring down the gap another 2 million or so before Microsoft begins their counterattack with Natal. Whether their counterattack will be successful or if Sony will have a counterattack of their own for Natal will be the big decider for 2nd place this generation I think.