I dont think Wii is going to hit above 150k more than once in this holiday... especially after seeing that it has dropped more 20% (from 33k to 27k) within 2 weeks after a price cut... 20% is significant cuz it didn't rise that much either.. and even than it is falling... so to me it shows that demand is falling n it is reaching saturation point fast...
i do believe that Wii will win this holidays but it will not race to 10m first..
Anyway i m keeping a close eye through my thread which i will update with your updated prediction but i think the console which will be able to sustain in Jan - March better is going to win..