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Well look at Super Mario Galaxy and Super Smash Bros. Brawl. They were hyped more than NSMBWii and they've sold over 8 million copies.

This is a first party Nintendo game with the words 'Mario' and 'Wii' and is multi-player. The DS version has sold about 20 million copies.

You don't have to be worried about it's sales.. Even if it does bomb for some ungodly reason, does it matter? Wii owners will have an awesome 2D Mario game and no amount of sales (or lack thereof) can take that away.