@godf
I really do not think Wii availability is a issue in Japan. Look at the sales, and read some stories. There should be ample Wii surplus in that market. The real issue with supply would be for Sony if their new sku did fantastically well. Honestly I do not see either of these consoles selling so much that supply is a issue.
@hanafuda
Seriously platformers do not appear to be all that popular in Japan. Mario Sunshine sold 870,000 units in its entire lifetime, on the Game Cube. That was actually less then a fifteen percent attachment rate lifetime. That said it can probably beat Mario next week, but I have the feeling that neither game is going to be high on the list. For instance Rachet selling 30,000 while Mario sells 25,000. Well that is not much of an accomplishment, and would only be accomplished, because Mario will have plummeted.
@topic
I wouldn't even care to speculate. Beyond the point that anything can happen in Japan over the next few weeks. Last week the 360 actually beat the PS3, and the PS3 was doing well, or better then it had most of the year. The response to the Wii has become tepid as hell. The PS3 has shown a penchant for selling consoles on the strength of one decent title. We all saw what the Hot Shots Golf did for the console during the summer. So while it is technically quite possible. I have this gut feeling that its not very likely.







