I've been thinking this Christmas would prove crucial to how third parties are going to view the Wii for a long time now. There is a glut of big-name games set for release and their success is no-doubt crucial to tackling the myth of whether only Nintendo games sell on their platform.
However, I think it's only the most pesismistic of publishers who don't already see the Wii as the most profitable platform. We've already seen some incredible sales for games which will no doubt greatly exceed their developement costs (Red Steel, RRR, Resident Evil 4, Trauma Centre, SonicATSR's, Dragon Quest Swords, MySims). I mean, has there been a GOOD third party game flop on the Wii yet? (I think it's too soon to point the finger at Z&W btw).
And even with all this said, the Wii developement costs are still about a third of it's HD counterparts, so even if a game doesn't sell as well as it did on Xbox 360, it could well still end up making alot more profit, which is surely all that matters.
I'm eagerly looking forward to what is seemingly the third parties second wave of games. The Wii is now a success, it's proven third parties can have success on it, but ultimately the third parties are going to be stuffed if they keep making ports and the such.
EDIT: I don't think the issue here is the quantity of software sold (The Wii's sold more software first year then the Xbox 360 did first year), I think it's just that Nintendo seem to get alot of those sales.
