Carl2291 said:
I see. How the hell did you factor in all the Christmas boosts and SW boosts without knowing what will be sold? And your estimations for many weeks and months next year are 99% likely to be way, way off. |
Of course, this is a very rough estimate, however a few things are pretty likely, first that PS3 sales are likely to peak this holiday, and then drop off in the next year, with a boost for a time around the GT5 release, 360 is likely to price drop next spring and possibly next fall, Sony may have one price drop next fall, but with a weaker overall lineup next holiday, while the 360 will likely have a stronger one, the Wand and Natal are likely not to have a big effect on the market, and likely not to be successes. So I felt my estimate was very generous to the PS3.
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)