PS3 will never beat 360 this generation.

[Alby_da_Wolf]

Carl2291 said:

ph4nt said:

Chairman-Mao said:
Umm okay I guess we all have our own opinions. You do realize the PS3 has outsold the 360 by over 800,000 in the past 5 weeks. What makes you think PS3 can't catch the 360. The PS3 will easily bowl over the 360 this holiday and into 2010 until MS drops the arcade and elite to $149 and $249 respectively.

All you mentioned is NATAL which may or may not succeed, Halo reach which will sell well but will it move any hardware?, and a fairly inevitable price drop which won't be until sometime in 2010.

PS3 has Gran Turismo 5 which will move consoles and other great games like Uncharted 2, God of War 3, MAG, etc (go to ign for a full list) which won't individually move consoles but will make the PS3 look better when people are deciding on what console to buy and should give it the edge. And since you mentioned motion controls, Sony's wand thing will be out sometime.

My prediction - 360's lead over PS3 will only be 4-5 million by end of 2010 and PS3 will be ahead by end of 2011.

It outsold the 360 by 800,000 the past 5 weeks, an average of 160k / week, impressive.

It outsold the 360 by 80k last week, half the average, still not too bad, but PS3 is still declining.

I'd say it will level off at 50k-60k lead per week, equalling a 240k-300k lead per month. It would still take several years to catch up at this rate.

Problem with averages is they dont take into account Christmas, or big games released.

In reality, it could only be 3 years, maybe 2.

This. Or to better say it, Xmas often greatly influences average. Xmas sales are normally amplified for every console, and so are weekly gaps amongst them too. For example here

We can see that XB360 built most of the gap it accumulated from the beginning of September 2008 until PS3 Slim and cut in the period between Black Friday and Xmas. OTOH, Wii 's Xmas season contributed a lot, but the gap was built also by a strong lead also during other periods. But undeniably Xmas season gaps are amplified, whichever is first and last.