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Netyaroze said:

NSMB wont sell nearly as good as on DS. The people prefer slightly different games on handhelds then on Home Consoles. It will reach maybe 30% of the amount of sold DS Games. FF 13 will be bigger. It was the first oldschool Mario the last 10 years. And of course it attrackted a lot of people its a great game. But it wont sell nearly as good as on DS and imo it wont push more Consoles sold than FF 13.

 

Best example is the last Monster Hunter on PSP and Monster Hunter tri.

I don't think anyone has any realistic expectation of NSMB Wii selling 5+ millions in Japan. It's a given that it won't sell as good as the DS one.

Even if it only reaches 30% of the DS version sales, that's 1.7 millions which is a pretty big game by itself. If by any chance it reaches 40% or more of the DS version sales, that's 2.28 millions which would be bigger than any PS3 games in Japan.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.