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I definitely think NSMB Wii will definitely be a hit, but I wouldn't count out TALES OF GRACES or FFCC:CB, or SW3.

As for whether the Japanese sales spiked or not, the estimate on the article's hardware rise was just that; AN ESTIMATE. There is no clear evidence on whether Sony PS3 outsold Wii. All we can do is wait for the hardware info from Famitsu.