The Ghost of RubangB said:
If you combine the PS3 and 360 sales of Modern Warfare 1, it just barely surpasses the sales of Super Mario Land 2: Six Golden Coins, on Game Boy, from 1992. When 11 million people are willing to pay for a 2-D Mario platformer with 4 shades of cream spinach color, no multiplayer, no Yoshi, no motion controls, and no Koopa Kids, I find it hard to believe any FPS will be able to outsell New SMB Wii. |
Yeah, NSMB Wii is set to outsell MW2. Just some numbers on how it will have to perform before January to beat MW2:
Ok, so MW was released in early November in both the Americas and Others, so we'll give it an 8 week time period before Christmas (I know this is less than 8 weeks but I figured we could round up to 2 months. I also know that the holiday season goes past Christmas but we're doing the weeks up til Christmas). In those 8 weeks in those 2 regions, MW sold 5,703,912 copies on the 360 and PS3 combined. So the remaining 6,721,826 purchased their copies from that January til now. Modern Warfare 2 releases in mid-November this year, so we'll give it a 7 week holiday period. MW2 will sell about 6 million copies in a time period of 1 week less. NSMB Wii releases a week after MW2 in both the Americas and Others. Can it sell 6 million copies in 6 weeks? I don't know. The legs will be tremendous, most definitely.
Mario Kart Wii sold 5,103,756 it's first 6 weeks with Japan included. NSMB Wii may not have Japan. It's still going at 17.5 million.
New Super Mario Bros (DS) sold 3,303.309 copies its first 6 weeks in all three regions, but went on to sell 19.5 million.
So while I agree that NSMB will most definitely outsell MW2 in the long run (by a ridiculous margin), I don't think it'll be the best selling game this Christmas. So I agree with half of your prediction.
Sorry for the super-sloppy post. -_-
