PS3 Q4 vs. XBOX360 Q4 = Uphill climb for SONY?

[starcraft]

TheDynamo said:

Playstation 3's Heavy Hitters for Quarters 1-3 of 2010:

Gran Turismo 5

M.A.G.

God of War 3

Modnation Racers (Not a Big Hitter)

White Knight Chronicles Not a Big Hitter)

Heavy Rain (Great Games, not great sales)

The Last Guardian (maybe Q4) (Great Games, not great sales)

Agent (maybe Q4)

Microsoft's Heavy Hitters for Quarters 1-3 of 2010:

Crackdown 2
Alan Wake
Splinter Cell - Conviction
Mass Effect 2

If Sony hasn't DRASTICALLY closed the gap on Microsoft by September 2010, how will they handle the following in Quarter 4 for Microsoft?:

Gears 3 (maybe) (Unlikely to launch, MS isn't putting Reach and Gears out within a bulls roar of Gears)
Fable III
Halo Reach
The Launch of Natal Embedded XBOX360 w/New Games (Complete unknown)