end of 2010? never happen. by the end of the gen? probable.
with developers in no hurry to start putting out shitty games for the next gen, they are spending their time mastering the current gen. i think you can reasonably tack on 2-3 more years easily before microsoft gets jumpy for the next head start.
this christmas will really be telling in how fast the ps3 will catch the 360. if my predictions are correct (300k/wk in early november climbing to and peaking at 750k at christmas) we could see the lead shrink to around 6.5 million by years end. that's cutting a million off the lead in three months. by the end of 2010 i think we can expect the gap to be between 4.5 and 5 million.
if the ps3 does go through a robust 10 year life cycle then i think it will indeed surpass the 360's sales. the counter to this is of course that xbox will almost assuredly be on their next gen system by then. this means that they don't have to acknowledge defeat on this gen because they are in a new ballgame. that's great and all, but that secretly implies that the only way m$ can have success going up against sony is if they don't go head to head.
the ps3 is selling faster in its respective phase of its lifecycle, faster in the present, and does not look to be slowing down for a long time. yeah that's a huge win for m$.
art is the excrement of culture
