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You are right about NES in 95, but SNES - 91, N64 - 96, GC - 2001, and Wii - 2006.

That is 1 console with a 6 year span followed by 3 consecutive consoles at 5 years per generation.

The whole advantage the Wii has was that it had motion controls and a significantly lower price point. Both will be out the window next year, and from the point of a Wii owner, the 360 and PS3 will still offer a next generation (graphics) experience.

Nintendo will need to match the graphics of the 360 and PS3, in the same way that 360 and PS3 had to match Nintendo's price and motion controls. Otherwise what exactly will be the selling point of the Wii?

Here is my speculation on WiiHD.

It will likely have a derivative of blue ray tech as its disc medium. It of coarse will not play Blue Ray movies.

There is no way they will have 4 controller ports and two memory card slots. The Gamecube just wasn't successful enough for this to be an important feature. GC games will be sold on the VC.

It will have 1080P support, but will not support standard HDMI. They will likely have a digital out port that will require a Nintendo cable.

It will have at least a 16GB SSD, although at present prices this would be expensive. I think having a 1 TB HDD would be better, but Nintendo seems to be against large storage.

It will cost 300 USD. You don't have a console sell out for 2 straight years and launch the successor at the same price.



Lifetime Sales Prediction - 6/29/2013
Wii U - 38 million
XBOX One - 88 million
Playstation 4 - 145 million