Speculation on the next Nintendo Console

[catofellow]

Wasn't the NES launched first?

And it isn't fair to say that the SNES and N64 launched last because in each case there were new entrants to the market who preempted their launch. I don't think Nintendo planned their launch strategy around the Genesis and the PSX.

The GC launched after the PS2 likely because of the fact that the N64 launched after the PSX. This is to be expected... It launched around the same time as the XBOX.

The Wii launched after the XBOX 360 because the original XBOX had only a 4 year life cycle which is shorter than any "successful" console that has ever existed. Also, the Wii launched around the same time as the PS3.

Of the 3 major console manufacturers, the Nintendo is the only 1 in its 5 generation. Nintendo has like clockwork launched a new console in the US every 5 years. I don't think they intentionally launched last in any of them.

It seems obvious to me that the next Nintendo console will be launched in 2011. I don't think Nintendo is much concerned with the prestige of topping the PS2 in sales. By then they will likely be selling the Wii for under $150.00, and would prefer to launch a new console at the $250 - $300 price point.

Also, Sony is not the only two generation in a row winner. NES and SNES both finished first.