puffy on 03 October 2009
There are far too many unknowns to say 'likely'
a few points to consider..
- PS Motion Wand launching early 2010 - SCEA expecting sales of around 5 Million
- Natal launching late 2010 - Microsoft treating it as a console re-launch
- Microsoft likely to cut the price of the XBOX 360 late next year, probably along with the launch of Natal
- Both Sony and Microsoft have a comparable software line up, Microsoft releasing yet another Halo, Sony with GT5 as the big title
- PS3 will still be more expensive than the 360 all year
- Blu-Ray will be mainstream and 3D Blu-Ray movies and games will begin to be released.
- Sony will have the momentum going into 2010
I think Sony will be able to get within 4 - 5 million by years end 2010 but it will depend on Natal.. If Natal bombs then Sony could get closer than 4 million but if Natal is a hit then the 360 will extend the lead back past 5 million.
