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ioi said:
1. 350 k for week 1 is too high, 300k is more like it
2. All your other data is misleading. Use the data on here. The further back in time you go the less and less accurate data from Famitsu / Media Create is.
3. There are more factors to consider than just week one and ltd ratio, is it released around a holiday period? How far into the life of the system is it released?
4. For what it's worth, 2m - 2.5m is a pretty safe bet at the moment.

It seems reasonable to use Famitsu numbers.