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Soriku - well, those spin-off brought some new Wii users anyway. So effect from ToG and FFCC will be much smaller.
Well, we will see when the time will come.

saicho - yeah, 40k+ would back my expectations.

Avinash_Tyagi - that is why FFXIII demo sold 60k PS3 after 2,5 years since PS3 launch?
FFXIII first HUGE PS3 game in Japan. It will help PS3 a lot.
While Wii already had around 5 huge games, which brought a lot of new users already.
In coming weeks we will see how PS3 and Wii will perform, also Wii Fit Plus effect.