Gran Turismo 5 to sell over 15 Million LTD or only over 10?

[dorbin2009]

ZorroX said:

dorbin2009 - read my last post above.

Hint:
Another thing, if Halo 2 was able to sell around 9 mln. on much smaller userbase than PS3(will be), why GT5 won`t be able to do that?

15mln. is only 25% of 60 mln. userbase, and why not? When GT is the strongest PS franchise and overall it looks like to be a VERY great game.

What makes you people think, that Gran Tursimo became less popular, when just Prologue alone sold over 4 mln. copies.
A userbase, which will grow in time?

No. I understand you are excited for the release, however you cannot and should not compare Halo 2 to GT5. And that's not even a knock towards the PS3. It's a knock towards racing games. They do not have the same kind of mass appeal that FPS games do.

I'm going to say it right now, GT5 could get a perfect ten Meta-critic score and still not sell 10-15 million. It's not about the game at all. 

But back to your point. The user base. How do you propose that this one game performs miles and miles above ANY other game released on the PS3 so far? The reason why Prologue sold so well is as follows (and it sold 3.14 million copies FYI) 

1. It's a budget title that previews a very popular game. 

 

And that's it. 

Look, these sales predictions are just plain absurd and its not fair to say that I or anyone else are PS3 bashers for thinking it. But when it walks like a duck, and talks like a duck, its a game that'll sell probably in the 6-8 range LTD.