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Who is buying all these copies of GT5? At the current moment the PS3 install base is not quite 25 million. Lets say, optimistically, the base hits 27 million by the time the game is released.

15 million would suggest that over half of all PS3 owners are

a) into racing games
b) willing to shell out 60 bucks for this racing game
c) do not use gamefly or other rental services
d) Are not using their PS3 as a blu-ray player

I mean as it stands, the current PS3 exclusive to sell well is MGS4 which, last time I counted, was not quite at the 5 million mark. How do you propose GT5 gets sold anywhere near 10-15 million?

I think it would be a much safer bet to predit 5-7 million and be pleasantly surprised if it sells more LTD .