You have to look at these things in terms of total number of units sold over the entire production run of any given console.
If it's successful enough to stay in production long after the next generation has started, continues to see solid developer support presumably because it continues to move software, that is no small victory.
It all depends entirely upon how long each console of the current generation stays in production.
With the Natal re-launch, I have a hard time seeing MS dropping the Xbox 360 any time soon either, which may well mean that Nintendo, the market leader, in an industry first, ends up jumping into the next gen before anyone else, even if it is little more than a Wii HD console with HD specific games that will not play on the current Wii.
If that happens, I can easily see the SD Wii staying in production, eventually dropping down to the "everyone has one price" of $99.
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