Ail said:
I think he's actually on the money. One of the reason price cuts give big boost the first week is that all the customers planning to buy a console and that become aware of the cut delay their purchase until the week the cut takes place. From all account that has not been the case for the Wii. Long term it does encourage customers that though the old price was too high to purchase it but those won't necessary rush to make their purchase the first week... The Wii is hovering around 17k in Japan right now and I doubt it will go above 30k the week of the cut ( still would be a nice 80% boost). US and Others will probably go back to 110k levels so add those 3 and you get 250k...
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You may be right that people aren't putting off their Wii purchases, however that doesn't address the fact that Japan is getting Wii Fit plus, UK is getting a new Bundle, and that WSR was able to life Wii's sales over 300K
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)







