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The IPCC uses 40 climate models, averaged, to reach their conclusions. None of these 40 models can accurately predict the past, much less predict the future. So basically the IPCC uses the formula average of 40 wrong models = right answer. That just fails on its face.

Then we consider the fact that for the past 10+ years the IPCC's predictions have been completely wrong, despite CO2 emissions increasing faster than its "worst case" scenario.

We also consider we have accurate temperature measurements only for the last 30 years from satellites (since 1979). Ground-based measurements have massive amounts of urban-growth bias and error ranges that clearly outstrip the 0.6 degrees C of warming recorded using such methods over the last 130 years. Even if these measurements were accurate, 130 years, while it seems long to humans, is less than a blink of the eye in terms of climate and geologic time.

I don't know whether global warming is happening or not. What I do know is the people who claim to know for certain what the temperature will be in 2100 are full of shit. Try getting what the temperature will be next week right first.



In Memoriam RVW Jr.

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