If we're going based on trends, I have two that matter more. Sony has won the last two generations without breaking a sweat. Most major third party games have been and continue to be on PS2/3. Sony really doesn't have much in the way of games in the US either, but the big stumbling block in Japan is that PS2 dominates the charts (DS notwithstanding), so developers just keep releasing games for that. As we go further in the year, we will start to see the fruit of development resources shifting away from the PS2. With those figures I meant US alone. Globally, I'd expect Sony to hit shipments of 15 million by the end of the next fiscal year. 360 is a very attractive platform at the moment, as long as the key focus is US sales, which for most developers it probably is.
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