superchunk said:
A) Metroid and Galaxy2 aren't going to increase the levels of consoles sold, they, along with many other games during Jan-Mar, will keep Wii value up like 2008 and thus enable the sales I predicted. B) That line of logic means that a Wii sale is at the expense of a PS360 sales and so on. If that were strictly the case then Wii would not be winning right now. While *some* people choose between them, a very large portion of Wii's sales come from those who didn't even consider a PS360. Therefore, the additional games (especially NSMBWii), color, and new lower price push them into the realm of purchasing vs contemplating. |
A) But perceived value to who? Only to Nintendo fans who already own a Wii. Neither game has any appeal outside of the Nintendo faithful. NSMB yes but not those two. New major games are necessary for a system to continue to sell, but if it's only sequels coming then sales must decline.
B) I agree a large portion of Wii's sales have come from people, women especially, who would not consider PS360 BUT... Nintendo is not offering anything this year to expand the market further, only cater to it's traditional (MoM, SMG2, NSWBW, S&P2) and already existing expanded market (WSR+, WF+, EO2). So without any new ideas, they will continue to see declining system sales from casual/non-gamers. Plus MS / Sony will be looking to steal away some of that market now that their prices are at a more mass market friendly range.
Iwata himself has said they need to continue to surprise or people will lose interest. Yet we've nothing announced but sequels to existing games (Wii or DS) which is only surprising in it's lack of originality.
