Wii has been sold-out every holiday season so far, three times in a row without any price drop, so with a new $200 price, i don't see why the same thing won't happen again this year...
Nintendo hasn't announced any price drop, to be sure all the remaining Wiis in the retail chain would sell as fast as possible, and retailers wouldn't have to sell old Wiis at the new price tag...
It's now nearly done, and the new stock will soon be on the market... i think that stock will be huge, as the production for this fiscal year will be the same as the previous one: 26 millions...
So, at the end of the year, the total Wii sales will be between 65 and 70 millions (quite logical, october to december is usually half of the year HW sales)...
So, PS3+360 need to sell between 10 and 15 millions combined to stay over 50%: with their new price cuts, i think they will do it quite easily...
BUT... they will have to sell hardware at loss, just to maintain their position, while Nintendo will keep doin' huge profits, even with the lower price tag, and even more when you also look at DS sales...
So Nintendo, at the end of the day, will win anyway, even if they "only" have 48 or 49%... :)
"A beautiful drawing in 480i will stay beautiful forever...
and an ugly drawing in 1080p will stay ugly forever..."
