shams said:
Ummm... Im not exactly sure how you got to the "every customer looses" conclusion, but I'll let that go and try and explain myself better. - Assume people go and buy either a HD-DVD player, BluRay player - or both. Some people bought it on purpose (because they have "too much money"), or part of a package deal (i.e. "PS3"). - Once you have this EXPENSIVE piece of equipment, you want to do something on it... right? It might have cost you $200US - or as much as $1000US. Either way, without a movie its worthless. - You head out and buy a movie (or three). Your local store has 30 BluRay movies- and 15 HD-DVD movies. Assume they are the same price (sort of irrelevant - you just blew hundreds on a player, what an extra $100 for a few movies... right?) - In this situation you don't really care that much what movies you get. You'll avoid anything that completely sucks, and prefer anything you really dig - or looks cool in HiDef (sfx, etc). The result is, that maybe 75% of the movies available - for either format - will do you for a purchase. ... How many movie studios support HD-DVD? 3(?) How many support BluRay? 10? Say BluRay (player) sales are double HD-DVD sales - 500k vrs 250k. Now on average - each studio sells about 85k units for HD-DVD... and 50k for BluRay. Now you tell me - which set of studios is better off? ... Its not that different from how console + game sales work - and its all about the install base. Except that content is much more irrelevant for movies than games. There are so many movies available, and in the end - everything is also available on DVD. Until that stops, or BluRay players establish a massive install base lead (say 10x) - this is like squabbling over pennies dropped from a cash sale. Its pretty much pointless.
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That makes more sense, however I feel that everyone wins when HD-DVD is gone. (well everyone but Toshiba, and the poor x-bots that bought a HD-DVD player, and the people who bought a HD-DVD player)
I think it was today, that the 'A night at the Musem' was released exclusive to BluRay. Let's see how it sells. As I feel it will be a MUCH bigger hit than 007.
Box office numbers.
| 38. | Night at the Museum (2006) | $249,869,448 |
| 119. | Casino Royale (2006) | $167,007,184 |
| Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest | May 22, 2007 |
| Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl | May 22, 2007 |
That's next month... Moral of the story, can HD-DVD rival BluRay with almost every big movie from last year coming to BluRay this year exclusive?
Amazon.com Sales Rank: #30 in DVD (See Top Sellers in DVD) (Night at the musem)
PSN ID: Kwaad

I fly this flag in victory!







