PS3's getting slapped around in Japan, but the lead is just north of a million units. Far from insurmountable. They'd have a harder time climbing out of the 360 US hole than the Wii Japan hole.
The problem is that PS3 are behind now with more than one million and are outsold with more than 2:1 per week against Wii. Closer to 3:1, last week media Create was more than 6:1. Sales for Wii seems to be affacted only by supply and sales for PS3 is getting lower. Even if PS3 might not sell that well in USA it isn't outsold by the same margin. Not only that in USA they at least have some games that the audiance wants, meanwhile in Japan they have madden coming for golden week. Doesn't seems that well. As far as I know (correct me if I am wrong) it looks like this untill august. If the combination with Wii Sport/Play can sell 2 million consols I do think that the combination Wii Sport/play, Dragon Quest Sword and Brain Training can sell 1 more during the summer. That would leace PS3 almost 2 millions behind.
In order to get some serious penetration, I'd put $200 as the figure as well. However, Sony should be able to hit 15-20 million prior to hitting that. During the 18 months that PS2 was at $300, they sold 9 million.
Most possible they will hit 15-20 millions WW 2010, hopefully more than that (100 USD per year is maximum). The problem I see is that Xbox360 would have sold that amount in USA alone, Wii should at least be at 10 millions in Japan. PS3 can't afford to be so much behind if they want to start selling when they reach 2010. Hopefully (for sonys sake) they will get a small boost each drop for each christams season to at least have 30 millions by then. If not they are in serious problems. Xbox360 have a good chance to reach 15 millions during 2007. Wii should have the same chance if they can keep this up.
I agree we haven't really seen any big announcements for Sony lately, outside their own internal work, but we haven't seen much from the others either.
I haven't seen any announcements that isn't a port from xbox360 since sell start. I have seen a company state that they are delaying their games to PS3. Sony needs to create some momentum, for the moment 3rd parties seems to belive that it is sonys job, and it is. Sony wont be the first plattform as lon as both xbox360 and Wii has bigger userbase. Even if you doubt that Wii owners buys 3rd party games you must agree on that xbox360 owners does, and they are a lot more than PS3 for the moment.
Buy it and pray to the gods of Sigs: Naznatips!
