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I'd like to know what Famitsu is basing these estimations on. I mean they say it can sell as low as 800k 1st week, and that just seems .. impossible for a mainline FF game.

MGS4 shipped about 550k copies 1st week in Japan on a 2.2m userbase. That's like 25% of the PS3 users bought the game 1st week. And sales of games like DMC4, RE5, Yakuza 3 suggest that there isnt that big of a decrease in sales for these franchises compared to the PS2 installments. Actually there usually is only a 10-15% decrease. that would imply that FFXIII should sell about 2.1m copies, and that's what I always expected it to sell.

So, these expectations of Famitsu really confuse me. I cant imagine why the game would sell that low.