PS3 is now AHEAD of 360 in 2009 sales.

[steverhcp02]

I think by the end of 2009 the gap can be cut by 1.5 million.

If Sony can get the wands out by the end of April 2010 they can mak it interesting for 2010.

Regardless, id say unless Natal becomes a phenomenon the PS3 should have the gap cut to 4.5 million by the end of next year.

high end weekly estimates for 2010

Factors im considering.
FF, GT5, Resonance of fate, Tekken, Yakuza, WKC2 japan
GT5, GoW3, FF13 in Others (playstating brand will aid PS3 over 360 for FF13)
GoW3, GT5, Blu-ray in america.

PS3
30k japan 65k america 80k others = 175k WW weekly average = 9.1 million

360
3k Japan 75k america 60k others = 138k WW weekly average = 7.2 million

So 7.7 million lead right now for the 360.
minus 1.5 million by the end of 2009.
minus 2 million by the end of 2010.
equals 4.2 million lead.

At least those are my thoughts.

Of course the wild cards here are th emotion controls for both sony and MSFT, so my analysis is independant of those since we dont have a feeling for reception of either product yet.