| RolStoppable said: I know that it is a tired argument (people who want the games of the 360 probably already own the console). Let me clarify how I mean it. I don't think that the games in 2008 will move hardware at a higher rate than the games released in 2006 and 2007. Obviously we will see some minor bumps in hardware sales when some major game releases (except for GTA IV, that one will move some more systems), but overall the average weekly sales rate of 2007 should be sustained, but not improved, in 2008, regardless of price cuts. Sustained sales (the 8m for 2008 I am expecting) don't mean that the system will share the fate of the Dreamcast. My reasoning is based on last generation. The Xbox and GC had great games and more coming down the road, they had price cuts and they reached the $150 price point much sooner than the 360 will. But did sales rates improve for these two systems in their 3rd and 4th year on the market? Not really. Most people refused to spend $99 on a GC, despite it having some of the best games last generation. The Xbox didn't fare much better. I don't consider the 360 to be the next Dreamcast, I consider it to be the next Xbox. Although I expect the 360 to end up with higher LTD sales (30m) than the Xbox, because the competition this time is weaker, mainly due the one year headstart of the 360. |
Rol, I don't really disagree with your estimates. My post was more geared at the people who think the 360 is going to drop to the 5m sold mark in 2008. It just doesn't make sense.
At the minimum, I expect the 360 to sell in the same numbers it did in 2007. Personally, I think it will do better, but how much better is really a mystery. January and February will be really telling about the console's future.
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