Khuutra said:
Dragon Quest has always, always, always obliterated Final Fantasy in terms of Japanese sales. It's not a contest. If you think FFXIII will sell in the neighborhood of DQIX in Japan you are in for a rude awakening. More, it would have to sell that much three times, once for each major region, to compare to the first Modern Warfare. Activision expects MW2 to be bigger. This isn't going to be a contest. It's going to be a massacre. |
I don't doubt that MW2 will be a huge game and will sell more software than FFXIII in the long run. But in regards to the OP, MW2 is unlikely to sell more bundled hardware. For these reasons (some of which are repeated from other posts)
1. FFXIII is exclusive in Japan, MW2 is not exclusive in NA
2. FFXIII is the first FF on current gen hardware, MW2 will sell a lot of copies to people who already have the hardware to play it, since they are likely fans of MW1.
3. FFXII fans tend to make it a day one purchase, whereas MW1 has had extremely long legs (which is great for the game overall)
4. ASSUMPTION: If FFXII is bundled like other PS3 bundles, it'll have the same price as the most expensive version of the console, which at this moment is $299. The MW2 bundle will be $399 (I know I'm speaking in dollars here), granted, the MW2 bundle is cool with the branded case and two controllers, but the extra hundred bucks may deter people who just want the game.
5. Japanese people love pretending to be someone else WAY more than Americans love shooting other people. :)
One other thing that does swing in favor of MW2 though (and may change everything): PS3 + FFXIII out in Japan around Christmas, does not mean nearly as much as Xbox 360 + MW2 around Christmas, since Christmas does not cause a huge upswing in console sales in Japan compared to NA. So MW2 bundle will get a big boost from the fact that some people will give it as a gift.