Wii at 35 million worldwide XBOX 360 at 29 million Jan 1st 2009

[ilovetogame]

i think there are definitely some wii owners, those that wii inticed into buying a game system for the first time, that won't buy many games at all and their wiis are collecting dust. my parents and my brother bought a wii after playing mine at thanksgiving last year. the only game my dad has bought is madden 07 and he has pretty much never played it. they are about 70 years old and so they are only gonna play really simple fun games like wii sports. but they don't even play that anymore except when me or my brothers come home to visit. and probably the only other games they will ever get are other really simple but very fun games like wii sports and a couple of flight games which my dad likes. so i'm thinking wii fit might spark their interest. my brother had dreamcast, xbox, and now a wii and he pretty much only gets sports games so he's played wii sports a lot but hasn't played it in a while and the only game he has got is madden 08 and zelda(which he played part way through). he'll probably get maybe like 5 - 10 games ever for the wii i'm guessing but thats the same as the other systems he's owned.

so there definitely are some people that aren't gonna be buying many games at all. however once 3rd parties start putting good games instead of crappy ports the hardcore games attach rate will go way up and the casual/mini games will continue to have good attach rates. the bad ones won't, but look at mario party, warioware, wii play(granted its only 10 dollars on top of the controller), wii sports in japan where its not bundled, and rayman rabbid rabbits. all have sold well. i'm disappointed in metroid prime 3 sales but that is the only game that makes me question the wii hardcore audience. resident evil 4 is selling extremely well considering its a port from last gen and a lot of people already bought it last gen.

also this season's great lineup of wii games along with mario galaxy, ssbb, and mario kart are gonna bring in a lot of hardcore gamers and those type of games will start getting better attach rates. and mummelman's idea that the wii will only be around for 3-4 year is hilarious. i can see the next xbox coming out in fall of '10, and the next sony and nintendo systems coming out fall of '11, so each five years. although sony might need to give up on the ps3 and realease the ps4 in 2010 with the next xbox. but i guarantee the wii will continue to sell and get some support for a year after the next nintendo system comes out. this should happen cuz despite nintendo normally cutting off all support once a new system is out the wii is gonna be so popular and have such a big base that it'd be dumb for developers to not still support it and it'll be so cheap it will continue to produce system sales. nintendo itself won't put any big new games out at that point, but 3rd parties will continue some projects on it. so it should last 6 years while the others last about 5.