http://www.gamespot.com/news/6142885.html
Looking farther ahead to 2007, Wallace believes the 360 will maintain a sizable lead over its rivals. "We are projecting the Xbox 360 and PS3 console installed bases to exceed 10 million units and 7 million units in the US that year, respectively, while the Revolution installed base should surpass 3 million units." He also said that a slowdown in PlayStation 2 sales will be somewhat ameliorated by a price drop from $149 to $99, most likely around E3 in mid-May.
As for other platforms, Wallace believes Sony will also cut the price of the PSP--a move that will lead it to pull ahead of the DS in overall sales. "The next-generation handheld installed base should also start to represent sizable numbers in 2007, as we expect the PSP and DS installed bases to reach 15 million units and 10 million units that year, respectively." However, Wallace stated that Nintendo's Game Boy Advance will give it an edge in the overall handheld market in 2006, saying "ongoing sales of GBA should be driven mainly by the continued popularity of the Game Boy Micro."
Analysts really have very poor judgement of the gaming market because they tend to make predictions based on current market share and "Brand Value" rather than the features which matter to gamers ... Honestly, I would predict that theSimExchange is probably the most accurate because it represents the interest in each of the systems by gamers themselves; if gamers are really excited about the future of the platform they likely have an intention to buy the system or buy games for the system which leads to further strong performance.
