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I dont think the PS3/360 pricecut impact can be judged just yet. In other words, if it loses steam after a month, then both systems aren't going to be in a good spot.

I think that a Wii pricecut would be similar to the 360 boost, but not the PS3 boost (as most people have viewed the PS3 as the most overpriced system on the market this gen and thus, avoided it)

In the end, it'd take the PS3/360 to drop their top level SKU to $200 to actually try to give the Wii a run for its money, and if the Wii dropped to $200 anytime soon, it'd be the last nail in the coffin vs the HD systems.