Wii at 35 million worldwide XBOX 360 at 29 million Jan 1st 2009

[shams]

KillaKB said:

With a price cut next year for XBOX 360 and that $299 for a premium sweet spot is reached and the $240 arcade core 360,and $399 ELITE and the $450 HDDVD 360 sales will keep pace with the wii(kinda)

the wii when it gets its first price cut putting it at a cool $199 plus pack in, it will sell upwards of 3 million in december 2008 alone in the U.S. the xbox 360 with next holidays price cut will sell even better than this holiday's 1.9 million december for the U.S. -XBOX 360 december 2008 will be 2.7 million(wii decmber 2007 1.7 million do to just flat out running out of wii's to sell)

Europe and Japan and others will be why the wii is about 6 million ahead of the 360 worldwide jan 1st 2009

I want to see how very close my prediction is

I agree with John - your numbers are way off.

The 360 has been out for 2 years - and will be at 15m (approx) by the end of this year. To suggest it will do *another* 15m - without a Halo3 release - next year, is very, very optimistic.

...

Your Wii figures are completely way off as well. Ninty will have around 23m Wii's out by March '08. Production will then be increasing to around 2m/month - maybe even higher (2.5m/m). The 9 months between April '08-Jan '09 will see *almost* 20m Wii's sold - maybe more.

I would say 360 - 22m, Wii - 45m. 

(PS3 is the interesting one - no idea how that will go to be honest!)