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darthdevidem01 said:
Zucas said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Zucas said:
Well as quick as that may be, remember what happened in the holiday season last year. PS3 had essentially outsold the 360 all year then the pricecut and the holiday season destroyed that.

With 360 still at better mass market price than PS3, Elite now at $300, ODST, etc. this could potentially stop that when that part of the year comes. Even further with the vastness of the opening start for PS3, one could also argue that the majority have already gotten their PS3 now and that it'll die down even further.

Also trends show that consoles that get big boosts in sales BEFORE the holiday season, don't sell as well in the holiday season. This is actually reminiscent of PS3 going into holiday season 2007 in Japan. 40GB boosted sales early in November and it then went into a holiday season with subpar increases.

I'm not trying to put a damper on any of this, but there are numerous other factors that need to be taken into consideration. Although PS3 may overtake it for a short time, there are a lot of factors also going against PS3. Whether or not the mainstream will still want to pay $100 or $50 more for a PS3, whether or not Uncharted is enough to compete with ODST and New Super Mario Bros. Wii, and whether or not the Slim is going to be all early sales and not much legs.

I think we'll know more of this by October especially when big 3rd party titles start coming out. It's clear that PS3 has a good start and is going to give Wii and 360 some good competition but I'd still say the holiday season is in favor of 360 and Wii right now. But that could obviously change.

But GT5 has been confirmed for 4th Dec

& FF13 has been confirmed for 17th Dec

Really?  Can you show me a link to GT5.  I had not heard.  And yes FF13 but for Japan only. 

http://www.n4g.com/ps3/News-390445.aspx

Wholesalers in france have been reporting this

Several quotes from Yamauchi (GT creator)....like "GT5 will be out shortly after GT:PSP"....."Its ready to ship in its state"......"ITs closer than you think"

A Handout given at GC2009 said "GT5 = Q4 2009"

basically saying GT5 isn't coming out in 09 is like denying the slim rumors.....SONY will confirm it at TGS

_____

FF13 (Japan) + GT5 (worldwide) is enough to counter HALO ODST 2 times.......NSMB Wii....not sure

Even if that has a 99% likelihood of being true, it isn't a confirmation. 

 

Now I will play along and state that if GT5 were able to release this year, that would give PS3 its big holiday exclusive it has been lacking in Europe and America.  But once again we don't have a solid confirmation yet.  I do think PS3 would have a bigger holiday if that does fall through.  That is definitely something that would give PS3 and edge over 360 as it is questionable that Forza 3 would be able to compete.